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| Johns Hopkins Univ. Press |
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January 2004, Volume 15, Number 1
Iraq: Setbacks, Advances, ProspectsAdeed Dawisha
The stakes are enormous and the challenges are difficult, but a look at Iraq months after the toppling of Saddam Hussein reveals that, despite all the frustrating setbacks, grounds for cautious optimism remain.
Europe Moves Eastward
- Challenges of EU Enlargement
Jan Zielonka
As it prepares to go from 15 to 25 member states, the EU has improved prospects for democracy in the East, but enlargement will only deepen the problem of the "democratic deficit" within the EU itself. - Consolidating Free Government in the New EU
Jiri Pehe
On the whole, the EU accession process has worked strongly in favor of democratic governance in the new member states, but the communist legacy will not be easily overcome. - Beyond the New Borders
Alina Mungiu-Pippidi
By expanding eastward, the EU has not so much settled the questions surrounding the borders of Europe as it has displaced them, generating new difficulties for the countries that remain outside. - NATO's Peaceful Advance
Zoltan Barany
NATO expansion has made an essential contribution to Eastern Europe's democratic transformation, but perhaps at the cost of weakening NATO's effectiveness as a military alliance. - Concluding Reflections
Jacques Rupnik
The fall of the Berlin Wall gave East Europeans a euphoric sense that they were about to give European democracy a new direction. But as many of their countries prepare to join the EU, little has worked out as expected in those heady days.
The 2003 Freedom House Survey
- National Income and Liberty
Adrian Karatnycky
Despite the threats posed by terrorism, 2003 saw a second consecutive year of significant momentum for freedom, and showed encouraging evidence that political rights and civil liberties can endure despite economic privation.
Indonesia's Approaching Elections
- A Year of Voting Dangerously?
Donald K. Emmerson
For this huge, sprawling nation in the throes of an ambiguous democratic transition, 2004 will be a year replete with unprecedented electoral tests. In the end, leadership and results will probably count for more than rules and institutions, however carefully designed. - Politics, Islam, and Public Opinion
Saiful Mujani and R. William Liddle
In the world's most populous Muslim-majority country, a dense and pervasive network of moderate Muslim civil society organizations significantly reinforces political moderation and limits the appeal of radical Islamism.
Russell J. Dalton, Susan E. Scarrow, and Bruce E. Cain
The advanced democracies are shifting from a reliance on representation toward a mixed repertoire that includes a greater role for "direct" and "advocacy" democracy, creating new problems that will require new solutions.
Fox's Mexico at Midterm
Chappell Lawson
Mexico's 2003 congressional elections confirmed both the country's transition to fully competitive politics and the persistence of structural deficiencies associated with its multiparty presidential system.
Research Report
- Does Diversity Hurt Democracy?
M. Steven Fish and Robin S. Brooks
It has been claimed in the pages of this journal that a homogeneous society is an advantage when it comes to democratization. How might this suggestion be empirically tested, and with what (perhaps preliminary) results?
Scatterplots associated with the article by M. Steven Fish and Robin S. Brooks.
Table 1-Regressions of Freedom House Ratings On Hypothesized Determinants (corrected version).
Books in Review
- Putin's Deep Freeze
John Squier
A review of Darkness at Dawn: The Rise of the Russian Criminal State by David Satter; Putin's Russia by Lilia Shevtsova; and Popular Choice and Managed Democracy: The Russian Elections of 1999 and 2000 by Timothy J. Colton and Michael McFaul.
Election Watch
- Brief reports on elections in Azerbaijan, Croatia, Georgia, Grenada, Guatemala, Mauritania, Rwanda, and Serbia.
Documents On Democracy
- Excerpts from a November 2003 interview with Iranian human rights activist Shirin Ebadi, winner of the 2003 Nobel Peace Prize.
- Excerpts from a September 2003 speech by Hossein Khomeni, grandson of the founder and Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
- Excerpts from a September 2003 statement issued by Václav Havel, Arpád Göncz, and Lech Walesa, former presidents of the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, respectively, on the political situation in Cuba.
- Excerpts from "In Defense of the Nation," a petition prepared by Saudi Arabia's reform movement and presented to King Fahad bin Abdul-Aziz, Crown Prince Abdullah bin Abdul-Aziz,
and the Minister of Defense Prince Sultan bin Abdul-Aziz, in September 2003.
- Excerpts from a section of the Arab Human Development Report 2003 entitled "Knowledge and Government in the Arab World," authored by Ghassan Twainy.
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