The Gambia’s Electoral Earthquake

Article
April 2017

This small West African country voted a longtime dictator out of the presidency. This victory for democracy was seemingly snatched away by his refusal to leave power—yet a breathtaking reversal lay in store.

When Dictators Die

Article
October 2016

What political consequences can we expect when aging dictators die while in power? A fifth of the world’s autocracies are facing such a possibility, but the evidence shows that this may not augur well for democracy.

Tunisia: Ennahda’s New Course

Article
October 2016

Tunisia is a small country, but its influential Islamist party has taken a big step by separating its political wing from its religious activities.

Transition in China? More Likely Than You Think

Article
October 2016

Evidence from social science and history suggests that China is entering a “transition zone” that will threaten its capacity to maintain both authoritarian rule and high levels of economic growth.

Burma Votes for Change: The New Configuration of Power

Article
April 2016
Even though Burma’s military seems to have accepted the NLD’s stunning election victory, it can still use an array of constitutional provisions to hamstring the incoming NLD government.

The Puzzle of the Chinese Middle Class

Article
April 2016

Seymour Martin Lipset argued that economic development would enlarge the middle class, and that the middle class would support democracy. To what extent will this general proposition prove true of China?

Burma Votes for Change: Clashing Attitudes Toward Democracy

Article
April 2016

What does public opinion tell us about Burma’s longer-term prospects for democracy? The Asian Barometer Survey reveals contradictory attitudes regarding democracy and democratic values among the citizens of Burma.

Burma Votes for Change: The Challenges Ahead

Article
April 2016

Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy swept Burma’s November 2015 elections. Will the new NLD-led government be able to live up to high expectations that it will deliver better governance, national reconciliation, and some form of federalism?

What’s Wrong with East-Central Europe? Liberalism’s Failure to Deliver

Article
January 2016

Is democracy in East-Central Europe suffering because of a lack of liberal zeal among elites, as Dawson and Hanley contend, or is it because
liberal policies have failed to deliver on their promises?

What’s Wrong with East-Central Europe? The Fading Mirage of the “Liberal Consensus”

Article
January 2016

Across East-Central Europe, the political center ground has long been characterized by the uneasy cohabitation of liberal and illiberal norms, but the latter have been gradually overpowering the former.

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